Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.049938 0.054293 0.058708 0.063512 0.068583 0.073770 0.079470
2025-05-25 0.041602 0.047852 0.054428 0.061835 0.069918 0.078445 0.088093
2025-06-01 0.035672 0.043188 0.051364 0.060856 0.071508 0.083033 0.096383
2025-06-08 0.032629 0.041290 0.050981 0.062517 0.075761 0.090382 0.107632
2025-06-15 0.029844 0.039354 0.050277 0.063575 0.079151 0.096648 0.117619
2025-06-22 0.027320 0.037459 0.049394 0.064227 0.081917 0.102101 0.126624
2025-06-29 0.024869 0.035427 0.048149 0.064275 0.083835 0.106472 0.134321
2025-07-06 0.023640 0.034790 0.048496 0.066154 0.087870 0.113293 0.144883
2025-07-13 0.021464 0.032770 0.046981 0.065619 0.088885 0.116461 0.151093
2025-07-20 0.019846 0.031355 0.046120 0.065801 0.090699 0.120534 0.158352
2025-07-27 0.018722 0.030513 0.045923 0.066760 0.093432 0.125696 0.166921
2025-08-03 0.017966 0.030118 0.046263 0.068373 0.096967 0.131842 0.176710
2025-08-10 0.015687 0.027461 0.043504 0.065898 0.095302 0.131599 0.178769
2025-08-17 0.014313 0.026013 0.042302 0.065407 0.096128 0.134429 0.184610
2025-08-24 0.013079 0.024684 0.041189 0.064970 0.096978 0.137263 0.190453
2025-08-31 0.012719 0.024656 0.041889 0.066992 0.101061 0.144218 0.201499
2025-09-07 0.012152 0.024264 0.042039 0.068237 0.104113 0.149872 0.210945
2025-09-14 0.011486 0.023665 0.041852 0.068987 0.106490 0.154663 0.219323
2025-09-21 0.010688 0.022794 0.041218 0.069069 0.107943 0.158250 0.226177
2025-09-28 0.010448 0.022832 0.041928 0.071059 0.111995 0.165238 0.237421
2025-10-05 0.009584 0.021750 0.040894 0.070503 0.112536 0.167621 0.242752
2025-10-12 0.008965 0.021046 0.040399 0.070697 0.114087 0.171324 0.249789
2025-10-19 0.008576 0.020722 0.040474 0.071707 0.116763 0.176516 0.258775